Hurricane forecasters continue to foresee above-average activity for the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season. They also anticipate an above-average probability that a major hurricane will make landfall in the United States and the Caribbean.
This year’s season, which starts June 1, will likely experience eight hurricanes, and four of them will be major, predicts report authors Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray who are from the Colorado State University’s Department of Atmospheric Science. Normally, the Atlantic season has 10 tropical storms, six of which become hurricanes.
There is a 69 percent probability that a major hurricane (category 3, 4 or 5) will make landfall somewhere on the U.S. coastline (the average for last century was 52 percent). There is a 45 percent chance for the U.S. East Coast, including Peninsula Florida (the average for last century was 31 percent) and a 44 percent chance for the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville (the average for last century was 30 percent).
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